Jei šie 1 rodikliai nepagerės, bendra kriptovaliutų rinkos riba gali nukristi žemiau 3 trilijono USD

The total crypto market capitalization has ranged from $1.19 trillion to $1.36 trillion for the past 23 days, which is a relatively tight 13% range. During the same time, Bitcoin’s (BTC) 3.5% and Ether’s (ETH) 1.6% gains for the week are far from encouraging.

To date, the total crypto market is down 43% in just two months, so investors are unlikely to celebrate even if the descending triangle formation breaks to the upside.

Bendra kriptovaliutų rinkos riba, mlrd. Šaltinis: TradingView

Regulation worries continue to weigh investor sentiment, a prime example being Japan’s swift decision to enforce new laws after the Terra USD (UST) — now known as TerraUSD Classic (USTC) — collapse. On June 3, Japan’s parliament passed a bill to limit stablecoin issuing to licensed banks, registered money transfer agents and trust companies.

A few mid-cap altcoins rallied, but overall sentiment was unaffected

Meškų nuotaikos aiškiai atsispindėjo kriptovaliutų rinkose, kaip Baimės ir godumo indeksas, a data-driven sentiment gauge, hit 10/100 on June 3. The indicator has been below 20 since May 8, as the total crypto capitalization lost the $1.7 trillion level to reach the lowest level since January 27.

Kripto baimės ir godumo indeksas. Šaltinis: alternative.me

Žemiau pateikiami pastarųjų septynių dienų nugalėtojai ir pralaimėtojai. Nors dvi pirmaujančios kriptovaliutos davė nedidelį prieaugį, keletas vidutinės kapitalizacijos altkoinų pakilo 13% ar daugiau.

Savaitės nugalėtojai ir pralaimėtojai tarp 80 geriausių monetų. Šaltinis: Nomics

Waves rallied 109% after liquidity was atnešė back to Vires Finance and the Neutrino Protocol USDN stablecoin re-established its $1.00 peg after a $1,000 daily withdrawal limit was imposed on USDT and USDC.

Cardano (ADA) gained 19% as investors expect the “Vasil” hard fork scheduled for June 29 to improve scalability and smart contract functionality, incentivizing deposits to the long-hyped decentralized finance applications on the network.

Žvaigždžių (XLM) hiked 18.6% after the remittance giant MoneyGram partnered with the Stellar Development Foundation, launching a service that allows its users to send and convert stablecoins into fiat currencies.

Solana (SOL) lost 8% due to an unexpected block production halt on June 1, requiring validators to coordinate another mainnet restart after four hours of outage. The persistent issue has negatively impacted the network on seven occasions over the past 12 months.

Data points to further price pressure

„OKX Tether“ (USDT) „premium“ yra geras mažmeninės prekybos kriptovaliutų paklausos iš Kinijos matuoklis. Jis matuoja skirtumą tarp Kinijoje vykdomų peer-to-peer (P2P) sandorių ir JAV dolerio.

Pernelyg didelė pirkimo paklausa linkusi slėgti rodiklį virš tikrosios vertės esant 100%, o mažėjančių rinkų metu Tether rinkos pasiūlymas yra užtvindytas ir sukelia 4% ar didesnę nuolaidą.

Pririšimas (USDT) lygiavertis ryšys, palyginti su USD/CNY. Šaltinis: OKX

Tether has been trading at a 2% or higher discount in Asian peer-to-peer markets since May 30. However, the indicator showed a modest deterioration as it bottomed at a 4% discount on June 1. This data leaves no doubt that retail traders were caught off-guard as the total crypto capitalization failed to break the $1.3 trillion resistance.

Neterminuotos sutartys, taip pat žinomos kaip atvirkštiniai apsikeitimo sandoriai, turi įterptąjį tarifą, kuris paprastai apmokestinamas kas aštuonias valandas. Biržai naudoja šį mokestį, kad išvengtų valiutos keitimo rizikos disbalanso.

Teigiamas finansavimo rodiklis rodo, kad ilgieji (pirkėjai) reikalauja didesnio sverto. Tačiau atsitinka priešinga situacija, kai šortai (pardavėjai) reikalauja papildomo sverto, todėl finansavimo norma tampa neigiama.

Sukaupta amžinųjų ateities sandorių finansavimo norma birželio 3 d. Šaltinis: Coinglass

Perpetual contracts reflected mixed sentiment as Bitcoin and Ethereum held a slightly positive (bullish) funding rate, but altcoin rates were opposite. Solana’s negative 0.20% weekly rate equals 0.8% per month, which is not a huge concern for most derivatives traders.

According to derivatives and trading indicators, the market is at risk of seeing more downside. Evidence of this can be seen in the slightly higher demand for bearish positions on altcoins and the evident lack of buying appetite from Asia-based retail markets.

Bulls need to display strength and hold the $1.19 trillion market capitalization support to avoid an increase in leveraged sellers, bearish bets and the subsequent negative price pressure.

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