Infliacija vėl pakils iki 40 metų, tačiau dujų kainos gali padėti greitai ją sumažinti

TOPLINE

Inflation is at its aukščiausias lygis since November 1981, pagal to data released by the Labor Department Wednesday, with consumer prices rising 9.1% from June 2021 to June 2022 and 1.1% from May to June, but rapidly declining gas prices may provide a reason for inflation optimism moving forward.

svarbiausi faktai

Gas prices were one of the largest drivers of inflation last month, rising 9.9% from May to June, the most of any good tracked by the consumer price index aside from food at employee sites and schools, which rose 24.2% in the period.

However, the month lag in data means the recent decline in gas prices is not baked into the most recent consumer price index.

The average price for a gallon of gas is $4.631 per gallon, pagal to AAA, down 38.5 cents, or 7.7%, from the highest-ever recorded price of $5.016 per gallon June 14.

The national average for a price of gas may fall to as low as $4 to $4.25 by next month if oil prices remain depressed, sako Patrick De Haan, GasBuddy’s head of petroleum analysis.

A decline in other commodity prices such as wheat and corn may also further prisidėti to lower consumer prices, while a glut in retail inventory leading to nuolaidos nationally should also help.

Stebinantis faktas

The Labor Department’s index of airline fares fell 1.8% in June, and is one of the few indexes to decline in price in the last month. That comes after airline fares were one of the biggest risers in price in May, didėjantis 37.8% according to the Labor Department.

Tangentas

The dip in gas prices over the last month is the sixth-largest 30-day drop ever, pagal to De Haan.

Pagrindinės aplinkybės

The recent drop in gas prices is largely due to a dramatic decrease in crude oil prices on the back of loudening recession fears—U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate traded at $94.70 per barrel Wednesday, down 21.7% from a month prior, while international benchmark Brent crude traded at $98.41 per barrel Wednesday, down 19.6% from a month prior.

Papildoma literatūra

Birželio mėn. infliacija išaugo 9.1 % – ji pasiekė naują per 40 metų aukštumą, nes kainų šuolis skatina nuosmukio baimę ("Forbes")

Kodėl stiprus doleris ir mažmeninės prekybos atsargos gali padėti sumažinti infliaciją kitais metais ("Forbes")